Congressional Quarterly mistates the situation in New York with its "surplus" of candidates running for Congress.
In the 19th, for example, the problem is simple. Nan Hayworth has the money ($519,000) but also the "potential baggage" drawn from extreme pro-abortion ties.
Urban Elephants was a bit more blunt:
NRCC Gives UP ON NY-19 -- Candidate "Unimpressive"
Dan Peterson, the outgoing Manhattan Young Republican Chairman, had heard similiar whispers out of Washington, D.C. that News Copy's sources have been sharing for three weeks now.
Actually, we had heard MUCH worse, not from the NRCC but more direct commentary on the following:
"The NRCC sees Hayworth as a tremendously unimpressive and uninspiring candidate who has not warmed to local party support and is considered too liberal to get the grassroots base excited. The NRCC is now realizing that she was really only taken into consideration because of her wealth and not her ability to network throughout the district..."
The point being that New York better wake up about what constitutes a true Republican candidate, let alone a true conservative candidate. Peterson was attacked by pro-abortion Republicans in New York City, a common theme these days between Republicans in New York, and precisely what plagued the 23rd last year.
Politico indicated that another rift looms in the 23rd, where Doug Hoffman is not getting Republican support after nearly winning last year as a Conservative!
New York Republican operatives want Will Barclay, who has the credentials and the location and probably looks more like a candidate than Hoffman. But there's a problem, a systemic one.
"The drawback is that he lost a Republican-held seat in a closely watched 2008 state Senate special election. And the two most recent congressional GOP nominees with backgrounds in the New York Legislature — Scozzafava and state Assemblyman Jim Tedisco, who lost to Democratic Rep. Scott Murphy in another special election last year — have fared poorly."
There is a breed of Republican strategist in New York who suffers from fear and loathing about parts of the Republican platform. And they keep losing elections (and make a lot of money in the process).
If they were horses, it would be time to shoot some of these RHINO-like consultants.
One can only hope/pray/beg that the usual suspects running campaigns into a politically correct Bermuda Triangle are not given permission again by Dean Skelos to ruin Republican chances in the State Senate.
Congressional Quarterly described the line in the sand as the jockeying for New York's third party endorsements.
Orange County Chairman Bill DeProspo said that for a Republican, running without the Conservative Party endorsement is akin to political suicide. “In the state of New York, if you think you can run for a congressional seat without the Conservative line and without the Independent line, you’re just not paying attention,” he said.
DeProspo himself is indicating a run against Hayworth -- but there are whispers of at least three strong (and well-financed) pro-life Republicans possibly challenging Nan Hayworth to a primary.
For pro-life Republicans, this is not complicated. For conservative Republicans, this is a relief. For Republicans who know a real Republican and a true conservative will win in their locales, this is common sense.
In a column entitled, Dede Deja Vu?, Raquel Okyay of Ulster County remembered that it was a liberal State Senator in the 23rd who ambushed Republicans over gay marriage and abortion by endorsing the Democrat over Hoffman in the closing week of the campaign.
"No one could have predicted that the Republican-endorsed candidate Dede Scozzafava would drop out of the race just three days before the election, endorse the Democrat and burn the Republicans, but what happened is more than just a bad turn of events, it is a result of choosing the wrong candidate to begin with. And it appears they are about to make the same mistake in New York’s 19th Congressional District race this year."
It's not just the 19th and the 23rd headed for a primary.
Congressional Quarterly noted how Republicans Michael Grimm, a former FBI agent, and Michael Allegretti, a former aide to New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg (I) are both running for Rep. Michael McMahon’s (D) Staten Island-based 13th district.
Bloomberg aide versus a a Guy Molinari backed F.B.I. agent? Allegretti is well-liked but in residential Staten Island, Bloomberg versus the former Borough President is a no brainer. In New York, it's instead going to be a costly primary.
The NRCC has only elevated one New York candidate to contender, Randy Altschuler in the 1st against tea party plagued Democrat Tim Bishop. But even Altschuler apparently faces a primary against as many as three candidates.
Raquel Okyay's advice to State GOP Chairman Ed Cox in the 19th is simple enough:
a) Look for a candidate that is not a wealthy liberal;
b) Is likable enough to get the support of the tea party and conservative movement; and
c) Is serious about real change in New York and in Washington.
"Mr. Cox – it’s a pop-up, put your glove out and catch the ball!"
Of course, there is the train of thought that competitive Republican primaries will rouse the G.O.P.'s base in this year of tea parties.
Yeah ... tell that to all the donors who will be asked for money ...
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